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WTI crude rose during the session Wednesday, and tested the $ 35 level. But there is a lot of noise at the top so that it is likely that this market eventually finds strong resistance enough to convert. In the meantime, it seems that their short-term traders will continue to pay for this market higher. For me, I will wait for the long-term Alyfrsh get short status in this market, which seems in a very descending pattern. I do not think that the upward pattern will begin until we break above the $ 40 level.
The reason that I think that the level of $ 40 will be almost impossible to get through it for any long period is that the US shale producers will become very violent at this level, and, of course, will continue to pay the value of this market down.
Jean-Victor
Jean-Victor is a technical analyst first class and the owner of more than 10 years experience in the forex market with the jurisdiction of the US market and the European intraday trading, and trading in the long term. It is the owner of certificates in technical and analytical advanced by the World Federation of local technicians. Adham trading specialist building for the long term, as well as to speculate on short-term strategies, and is considered an expert in financial markets and provides thousands of investors analyzes and comprehensive coverage of all major currency pairs and all the changes and fluctuations that occur in the market.
His practice includes interviews with investors in order to analyze their portfolios and a personal escort. In his analysis depends on candles, Elliott waves, analysis of support and resistance lines, and other Fibonacci levels
The Australian dollar hit earlier its highest level in two months with the continued rise in risk appetite in the currency markets. It has provided the JPY today some of the field, and also allowed the US dollar and the euro to compensate some of the recent declines. The markets await today's release of the latest American data to help predict the next step for the Fed. Investors are optimistic that the ISM non-manufacturing report will be serious, such as the Declaration on Tuesday for the manufacturing surveys, which showed an acceleration in production and new orders remain at high levels.
As reported at 10:53 pm (GMT) in London, the Australian dollar was trading pair / US dollar at $ 0.7329, this is a rise of 0.69%, just one point from their highest level of the meetings. It rose NZD / USD also to the level of $ 0.6998, which is higher by 0.475. The pair has ranged from a low level at $ 0.6658 and the peak at $ 0.6700. It was trading the euro / dollar pair at a level of $ 1.0877, and this is a rise of 0.10%.
Attention towards US data
Although it is clear that today's ISM report is important for the markets, but the main event this week will be announced tomorrow on employment data in the United States. This is a report, first of all, the main consideration for the Fed in determining the timing of the next raise interest rates. The labor market fully operational, along with price stability, is the mandate of the Federal Reserve Bank. Currently, the consensus of analysts indicates an increase in the number of jobs in the private sector for the month of February to 190 thousand. Despite promises by the Federal Reserve several increases in interest rates this year, any disappointment in employment in the non-agricultural sector report will affect the US dollar has postponed the timing of the next increase in interest rates.
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